Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.336567 0.399034 0.468758 0.552189 0.649143 0.758087 0.889607
2025-02-09 0.251380 0.334337 0.436860 0.572179 0.745303 0.958510 1.240018
2025-02-16 0.194937 0.282556 0.399341 0.564951 0.792051 1.090578 1.510353
2025-02-23 0.153245 0.239051 0.360983 0.544615 0.811342 1.181238 1.728699
2025-03-02 0.121659 0.202786 0.324883 0.518866 0.815268 1.245969 1.912327
2025-03-09 0.107718 0.190135 0.320447 0.537139 0.882725 1.404960 2.243360
2025-03-16 0.089085 0.166418 0.294777 0.517944 0.888949 1.471161 2.439528
2025-03-23 0.079599 0.156375 0.289398 0.529893 0.944442 1.616602 2.769198
2025-03-30 0.071294 0.146940 0.283445 0.539494 0.996066 1.759239 3.105409
2025-04-06 0.062196 0.134445 0.270173 0.534146 1.020700 1.858403 3.377005
2025-04-13 0.054685 0.123756 0.258610 0.530088 1.046417 1.960508 3.660652
2025-04-20 0.050685 0.119550 0.258734 0.547694 1.112803 2.138221 4.089021
2025-04-27 0.050828 0.124482 0.278085 0.605955 1.263391 2.482895 4.850086
2025-05-04 0.047252 0.120689 0.279268 0.628323 1.347781 2.714961 5.427835
2025-05-11 0.041542 0.110980 0.266596 0.620462 1.371324 2.834820 5.806393
2025-05-18 0.035561 0.099503 0.248360 0.598286 1.362985 2.892105 6.069632
2025-05-25 0.030060 0.088151 0.228675 0.570200 1.338795 2.915283 6.267127
2025-06-01 0.028246 0.086038 0.230226 0.590132 1.419309 3.154761 6.912105
2025-06-08 0.024338 0.077511 0.215053 0.569193 1.407529 3.203500 7.173764
2025-06-15 0.022659 0.074911 0.214205 0.582229 1.473208 3.418948 7.794590
2025-06-22 0.021015 0.072102 0.212421 0.592701 1.533881 3.628237 8.417486
2025-06-29 0.018837 0.067258 0.204560 0.586868 1.555423 3.753863 8.870352
2025-07-06 0.016961 0.062977 0.197596 0.582441 1.579769 3.887336 9.349668